If you opened the fridge expecting to see a gallon of milk, a carton of eggs and a stick of butter, but instead you found tiny, plastic versions of those same items, what would be going through your mind? Would you assume it was sorcery, a glitch in the matrix, or a bad dream? Or…
Injuries are, generally, pretty easy to follow. A cut, a break or something similar can be quickly diagnosed and treatments applied. But mental health is a lot more complex, as it’s often invisible to the naked eye. But that doesn’t mean that the things we go through don’t leave a mark. Someone asked “What event…
One of the most famous pieces of research on prediction was done by Philip Tetlock. He asked a group of pundits and foreign affairs experts to speculate about various geopolitical events, like whether the Soviet Union would disintegrate by 1993. Interestingly, the “experts” struggled to perform better than “dart-throwing chimps,” and were consistently less accurate…
